Interesting tournament in Madrid

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Interesting tournament in Madrid

This week all the top 20 players participate in Madrid tournaments.
It will be interesting to see the shape of all the players 3 weeks before Roland Garros.
Will Djokovic beat Nadal and stay unbeaten since the beginning of the year ?
Will Nadal win another tournament on clay and stay unbeaten on this surface ?
Will Federer remain behind them or finally win another masters 1000 ?
Will another player in top ten like Murray, Soderling or Ferrer make a surprise and win the tournament ?
And what about young players like Raonic or Dolgopolov, or oldest players on return like Del Potro, Ferrero or Karlovic, will they create some feat in this tournaments ?

What is your opinion ?

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Rafa doesn't play very well

Rafa doesn't play very well those last weeks, even if he won titles. Madrid's clay courts are faster than in others tournaments. So Djoko could win easily but he has Ferrer on his way...
Federer doesn't play well but loves Madrid's clay courts. Same thing for Soderling.
Raonic is injured and shouldn't play the first round.

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Madrid

We will see again a final between Nadal and Djokovic. Nadal will win because he is simply the best on clay. Djokovic needs more matches, he will be on top at Paris. Ferrer is in good shape but it's not enough to beat Nadal or Djokovic. So he will lost at QF. I do not count on Federer for title, he is still good enough for semifinal, but not for Nadal. Murray will again reach the semis, but lose against Djokovic. I think we have the top 4 in the semifinals.

Raonic can make a surprise in Wimbledon, and del Potro in Paris.

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Ferrer has good stats against Djokovic.
He won all the matchs on clay (3) in their head to head (5-4 for Djokovic for all surfaces), so may be, he will make surprise !
Federer has already beaten Nadal on clay and specially in Madrid 2 years ago. But it seems so far ...
I've liked to see Murray against Nadal in Monte Carlo.
I think he's found a tactic to beat Nadal. Big forehand high on the Rafa's backhand and attack with his backhand on the Rafa's forehand. It's worked one set but after he was so tired and a little injured.
I think Djoko would have use the same tactic, and because he is stronger phisically than Murray, he has good chances to beat Rafa.
We will see ...